Week 15 NFL Bets

Here's how I did in Week 14...

New England -3.5 over Houston: +5 Units
Washington vs Baltimore Under 47.5: -5 Units
Seattle -10 vs Arizona: +1 Unit
Minnesota +$130 vs Chicago: +3.9 Units

Week 14 Record: 3-1
Season to Date Record: 23-23
Week 14 Winnings: +4.9 Units
Season to Date Winnings: -8 Units

Season to Date Statistics
Record ATS: 19-23
Betting Underdogs Straight Up: 7-7
Betting Favorites ATS: 8-9
Betting Underdogs ATS: 3-3
Betting Overs: 1-4
Betting Unders: 5-5

Here's my Week 15 picks...

Lock of the Week (7-7 Record)
Minnesota +3 at St. Louis: 7 Units
It seems that with Percy Harvin on IR that Christian Ponder has regressed a little bit, leading the Vikings to run the ball heavily.  This is not a bad thing as Adrian Peterson needs 134 yards per game the last 3 games to go over 2000 rushing yards on the season.  Though the Rams do rank 10th in the NFL in rush defense, Adrian Peterson on turf is dangerous.  With Matt Khalil solidifying himself as one of the better young tackles in the NFL, I see the Vikings running on to the left side early and often.  Look for Jared Allen, who has 9 sacks on the year, to attack QB Sam Bradford, who has been sacked 31 times, 12th most in the NFL.

Other Games (12-16 Record)
Chicago vs Green Bay Over 43: 7 Units
I like the odds of some points being scored in this one.  Chicago's defense, which has been stellar over the years under Lovie Smith, has declined rapidly.  Without Brian Urlacher, and with the play of both starting safeties slipping lately, the Bears figure to be in trouble vs the Packers' high octane passing game.  Randall Cobb has emerged as a go-to reciever, Greg Jennings is back and healthy, and Jermichael Finley has found some passes recently after a horrible start to the season.  Brandon Marshall has been vocal this week about having a big day, and I think he's going to back up the talk with a multiple touchdown performance.

San Fransisco +5 at New England: 2 Units
I think after the blowout win over Houston last week that so many people will jump on the Patriots, meaning this line could become even more attractive to 49ers fans.  I'll take it now.  The 49er defense isn't going to lay an egg like the Texan's defense did last week.  Though Tom Brady can make any team's defense look silly, the 49ers will be so much more prepared for this game.  I think the team with the last possession could win on a field goal.

Upset Special (7-7 Record)
New York Jets +$110 at Tennessee: 1 Unit
This pick came down to the Cowboys over Steelers in Dallas or this game.  Well, the Cowboys suck at home and although I have very little to say about Jets/Titans because I don't care enough to watch one of the worst MNF games in recent memory, I do think the Jets are a marginally better team and so I'll pick them to win.

Follow me on Twitter: @JimScheffres